Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.002834 0.003041 0.003266 0.003528 0.003830 0.004169 0.004582
2024-10-13 0.002505 0.002778 0.003092 0.003485 0.003975 0.004578 0.005398
2024-10-20 0.002224 0.002519 0.002872 0.003337 0.003949 0.004758 0.005965
2024-10-27 0.002073 0.002391 0.002786 0.003328 0.004082 0.005152 0.006919
2024-11-03 0.001867 0.002174 0.002560 0.003103 0.003882 0.005033 0.007051
2024-11-10 0.001796 0.002120 0.002538 0.003145 0.004058 0.005497 0.008295
2024-11-17 0.001746 0.002087 0.002538 0.003215 0.004280 0.006079 0.010013
2024-11-24 0.001671 0.002014 0.002477 0.003186 0.004341 0.006394 0.011344
2024-12-01 0.001639 0.001997 0.002489 0.003266 0.004589 0.007118 0.014177
2024-12-08 0.001583 0.001942 0.002443 0.003251 0.004669 0.007525 0.016511
2024-12-15 0.001520 0.001874 0.002373 0.003189 0.004655 0.007729 0.018399
2024-12-22 0.001498 0.001862 0.002385 0.003262 0.004901 0.008603 0.024359
2024-12-29 0.001473 0.001848 0.002397 0.003342 0.005195 0.009778 0.036185
2025-01-05 0.001423 0.001795 0.002346 0.003311 0.005259 0.010379 0.048223
2025-01-12 0.001354 0.001711 0.002242 0.003178 0.005085 0.010210 0.052168
2025-01-19 0.001318 0.001675 0.002210 0.003171 0.005189 0.010981 0.079804
2025-01-26 0.001242 0.001575 0.002074 0.002964 0.004817 0.010023 0.064279
2025-02-02 0.001222 0.001560 0.002072 0.003004 0.005014 0.011145 0.128112
2025-02-09 0.001209 0.001553 0.002083 0.003067 0.005282 0.012746 0.769895
2025-02-16 0.001179 0.001520 0.002048 0.003041 0.005324 0.013464 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001169 0.001518 0.002064 0.003115 0.005639 0.015789 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001145 0.001490 0.002037 0.003101 0.005715 0.016987 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001114 0.001453 0.001991 0.003044 0.005665 0.017403 NaN